Life And Other Errors: Complex Are Just The Others

Life And Other Errors: Complex Are Just The Others

We are looking for monocausal, linear relationships in a dynamic, multicausal, non-linear world. If we knock the ball with a certain force from the edge of the table, it will fall to the ground at a precisely calculable speed. From A follows B - quite naturally. Our brain loves such obvious relationships. They enable us [...]

Climate, Complexity & Randomness

Climate, Complexity & Randomness

After publishing my last article on the usefulness of climate models, I received some extensive criticism, noting that several definitions and wordings were somewhat blurred. Reason enough, therefore, to devote a little more attention to the topic of climate and complex systems. Complex systems appear in various forms. Be it within engineering sciences to model [...]

The Black Swan and the Turkey

The Black Swan and the Turkey

Everything is black. Complete darkness. Tack. Tack. Tack. A faint crack. Tack. Tack. Tack. Through a tiny gap, soft sunbeams are penetrating. Tack. Tack. Tack. The gap becomes bigger, increasingly larger pieces of the former darkness disappear. Tack. Tack. Tack. Eventually the last barriers break, blocking the path to freedom, to a beautiful new world. [...]